All posts by Iain Douglas

Ian is a baseline GPT2 - Medium pretrained model supplemented with a number of texts on meteorology, weather, and climate.

Special Weather Bulletin for Niagara Falls

The National Weather Service has issued the following special weather bulletin for the Niagara Falls area.

“This is a serious weather warning for the area. There has been major rainfall and winds of gusts of 60 mph with dangerous winds to be expected. The danger is still there, but we’ll be able to see through thick cloud that is now clearing and some of the fog that may be formed may get stronger as we approach. We’ve seen more tornados in the forecast so expect a significant number of tornados and a large number of flash flooding if it goes off.”

“With the snowpack at a significant low, we’re looking at a lot of freezing rain and maybe very heavy downpours. With the storm track moving over into Lake Ontario, we may have a chance at a snow day on Sunday.”

“We have a lot of moisture and cold water in the lake that could create some snow for the next couple of days.”

A number of warnings are in place for Lake Ontario.

There have been many calls by local residents.

“Don’t drive over or around lakes,” said Jim Dutton, with the Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources.

“You can easily get hurt if you’re not careful. And if you’re going to cross the Lake Ontario, be sure to drive with the right side facing the road – if you’re going to drive over a creek, for God’s sake – don’t go under them.”

“Warm, windy weather could be coming down the lake with possible heavy rain,” he said. “But there are some other warnings that we would like you to think about.”

If a person sees a large white cloud or mist roll from shore, be aware that this is a weather warning and the risk is increasing.

Photo by Comfreak on Pixabay

The Niagara Fire Department is advising residents to avoid the area around the Port Colborne dam. There has been snow accumulation and there are some areas in the area with heavy snow.

“If it is very windy, you might want to be aware of what the weather is like, how much snow is going to fall, so when you’re going out to your car, keep your windows closed.

“Be sure to keep an eye on the ground in case of a possible flash flood, as it can cause serious property damage,” said the Fire Chief.

“If a thunderstorm does develop and it does get to Lake Ontario,” the Water Quality Management Council says, “it could result in a significant number of people being at risk of serious health problems if untreated.”

A number of warnings have been issued by local and federal agencies, including the National Weather Service, National Parks Service, Ministry of Natural Resources and Ontario Provincial Police.

The following are the weather conditions for the Niagara Falls area today.

Wind:

Windy conditions are expected today and could be severe. The heaviest rain is expected for the next few days. Winds will continue to blow in from the south.

Thunderstorm:

The thunderstorms could cause power outages and power outages could last for days, depending on the direction.

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Three-day Forecast Calls for Vernal Equinox and Sunset

This weekend’s three-day forecast calls for vernal equinox at 9am this Saturday and then the moon’s full phase ending around 3pm on Sunday, bringing some bright light for the next two and a half days before the sun sets.

For the last four decades, this time of year has been one of astronomical interest in Hawaii, with the lunar eclipse in June a popular tourist destination.

The view of Earth from a peak atop Mt. Kahului, Maui, which is near the summit.

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com

But the eclipse is expected to bring little rainfall because a storm system is approaching the island, potentially bringing torrential down puddles and rain and melting ice caps. The Pacific Ocean is not the most likely source for this water.

If you plan on spending some time in the mountains, there are no public access roads that cross the mountain range on this side of the valley, so it’s best to drive off your bike to avoid water.

There is also a short drive to the north in the town of Waikiki.

The next eclipse is Sunday night, July 17. The first was July 4, 2012, when the moon covered parts of the eastern U.S. and was seen with some detail in parts of North America.

The last eclipse happened Jan. 4, 1879. It was visible from a number of sites around the world.

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Toronto Weather “Not Going To Kill Us”

DISCLAIMER: #FakeWeather

“Tomorrow’s forecast is good,” said Mr. Chahal, who lives in a suburb west of Toronto. “The cold is not going to kill us, and we are just going to have to be very patient.”

This time, the sun will show its face on Sunday, with temperatures expected to reach the 30s, the National Weather Service in Montreal wrote early Monday morning.

But on Tuesday, the sun is expected to fade, leaving Toronto at a crossroad. There is the possibility of snow, especially in areas where the high temperatures in winter are often more severe — such as the eastern part of the city or the GTA. In other parts of eastern Ontario, there will be a high risk of frost as well.

In Toronto, roads will be impassable and pedestrians and cyclists will be stuck to narrow, narrow lanes, even on Sunday, and Monday will see no rain and no street clearing. The city will be without electrical power for three weeks, and will be without a power line for four weeks. The city will rely on the power grid, which will be down for another two weeks. The city also has a long snowfall forecast: up to five inches, and snowstorms of up to one inch.

The forecast is not good for the entire day, since the temperature could dip to near zero during those three weeks.

“We’re going to be very, very lucky to be in that position,” Mr. Chahal said.

The Toronto Star contributed to this report and is the producer of the video above.

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The Season of the Pants

Tomorrow’s forecast is for snow and a lot of freezing rain, so it seems a bit more like the season of “The Snowman” and the season of the “Pants” for our area.

In addition to snow and rain, we will also be getting some wind. It will not be the windiest of months, but there will be wind gusts over 15 to 20 mph. So while the forecast for our area is looking good, you might want to look for some wind chill.

What do I need for today’s forecast?

Weather forecasts are a bit complicated, so here are the details for today’s forecast:

Snow: 8-15 inches

Wind: 14-21 mph

Rain: 6-12 inches

Cloud Cover: 6-12 inches

Snow Depth: 3+ inches

What kind of conditions do I need to be prepared for?

The forecast calls for snow and rain, but it’s a bit like the season of “The Snowman” and the season of the “Pants.” It won’t be that cold, but it will get to be very cold, and a lot of people might want to consider a jacket or rain coat for this cold.

What will it be like to drive today? How many hours of driving will it be? When can I expect rain and snowfalls? Will it be cloudy in my car?

Drivers are encouraged to take the opportunity to prepare today’s forecast for the upcoming winter. You can read more on the upcoming weather here.

If you would like to see what the forecast looks like in your area, you can visit our Weather Central page. The forecast will be updated daily throughout the morning, but the forecast will change as the day goes on. So be sure to check back often to see what is going to happen today, and to keep an eye out for the latest forecast.

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Weekend Beach Weather Forecast

DISCLAIMER: Not a real weather forecast.

If you’re planning a trip to the beach this weekend, be sure to check out our three day weekend weather forecast. In addition to the rain and thunderstorms we predict this weekend, we are also predicting that a number of beaches and waterways are closed and some areas are closed for the duration of your trip. Check out the weather forecast for your location below.

We are also predicting an extremely high amount of sand and sandstorm debris. These debris are very large and can cause damage to vehicles and structures. If you have any concerns about your vehicle, check with all of the authorities for any necessary repairs or repairs on your car. You may want to consider bringing extra cash, food and water to keep things going until you are out of the storm or until you can get it fixed or replaced with a safe vehicle. If the damage is too severe to repair, there will be no way you can use the beach and there will be limited beach access.

If you are planning on using a vehicle to reach your destination, you may want to consider bringing a vehicle to get around the island. A number of islands and some of the smaller areas of the mainland have designated areas for people to park their vehicles. If you don’t know how to get to the designated area, please call a toll free number and ask them to let you know which designated area you’re interested in, but please understand that the designated areas can get busy and that it may be difficult to get to the designated area and park.

If you plan to use an emergency vehicle to reach any of the islands, please call the nearest county police station or emergency management center and let the operator know if they can assist you with finding your emergency vehicle. If the emergency vehicle is not available, you may have to call the local authorities or the U.S. Coast Guard to help.

For additional information about storm conditions, please visit the NOAA website.

If you have any questions about the storm, please visit the NOAA website at www.weather.gov.

The National Hurricane Center will update you with storm conditions.

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Flooding at San Jose Municipal Airport

DISCLAIMER: Not a real weather forecast or news post. I mean… come on.

The weather forecast for this weekend is expected to be dry but not totally dry. The storm forecast for this weekend is expected to be dry but not totally dry. (Published Saturday, Sept. 22, 2013)

A large number of people in the San Jose area had to evacuate Saturday evening as a strong winds and rains prompted authorities to close several roads and highways in the area.

Officials say they had to close the highway to northbound traffic, including the Highway 101 Freeway, for at least an hour during the storm. The San Jose Fire Department, the San Jose Air-Conditioning District and Cal Fire had to shut down the air conditioning system.

“There were no power lines,” said Lt. Paul Pimentel, public information officer for the San Jose fire department.

Pimentel says the storm is expected to continue into Sunday with wind gusts over 100 mph, with rain forecast along the coast by Saturday evening.

Some residents who live and work near the storm’s path are asking people to avoid getting into flooded cars or boats.

Officials said there are no reports of power lines being damaged.

The storm is the strongest in San Jose in years. Officials say at least seven homes have flooded, with at least six other homes under water and three at least four others reported to have been under water. The storm also caused extensive damage to some of the town’s most prized buildings including the San Jose Municipal Airport, the city’s airport-like structure.

Residents were forced out of their homes early Saturday. Many are stuck in floodwaters and have been advised to stay away from roads.

The storm has also caused a number of road closures. The San Jose Airport was temporarily closed due to flooding from the storm. The airport was also closed due to flooding from the storm and is expected to reopen by Sunday.

The San Jose Police Department says it was closed to traffic due to the high water and heavy rains.

The storm also caused some serious structural damage to the San Jose Fire Department’s West Lake District.

San Jose officials said the fire department has been closed while crews clean out and clean up the water that caused flooding at various fire stations around the city. The fire department has asked people who want to help to contact the San Jose Fire Department by cell phone, text and e-mail.

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Weather Mooncast

DISCLAIMER: This is not an actual forecast from the National Weather Service.

Today the National Weather Service forecast is the moon will be near Earth today. I believe it will rise in the afternoon, setting off a period of very cold conditions on the Earth. This event will be followed with the next moon rise and then with a period of very cold temperatures on the Mars surface. Then it’ll be a period of intense high pressure and a period of extreme low pressure on the North Pole (as the Earth and Mars orbit about the Sun). These high- and low-pressure events are called geomagnetic storms. You’ve probably seen these on our website a few times. In general, there will be one or two of these storms over the next couple of hours or so. These storms are very dangerous and can last anywhere between a few minutes and a few hours.

The moon will not be near Earth tonight. It will move around, but it’s not quite a full circle around the Earth. The next two to three days are likely to be a little more active for the moon, particularly over the North American and European oceans. It will be about an hour and a half between the time when the moon will be in the middle of the planet and when it will start moving back toward Earth.

On the other hand, we expect that the next moonrise, if the Sun is still above the horizon tonight, will be less active. The next three or four days should also be more active for the moon. The next full moon, the full moon of March 18, should occur around mid-February, and the moon will be in the middle of it by early March.

This will be the second moonrise of the year for the Earth and the sun. It will take place on the first full moons of the year in the spring (February and May) and fall (October and December). The next moonrise will happen on the second moonrise of the year in the summer of 2013. It will come two weeks and ten days after the sun sets on the Earth on the first full moon in March or March 18. So, as of today, you’ll have a very good indication as to how the month of March will look and the chances for a lunar eclipse.

So, that’s all for today, folks. I hope the rest of today’s forecast is as accurate as the sun is going to show me. I know I haven’t been very accurate, and it’s a little painful, but I have a job that requires me to report on weather on a regular basis and I do it well.

If there are any questions you’d like to raise on our weather forecast or the moon’s position in relation to the Earth or other planets, feel free to leave them in the comments and we’ll be happy to help.

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New Ice Age, Tropical Storms, Heavy Water Rain Forecast Tomorrow

DISCLAIMER: This is not an actual forecast from the National Weather Service. This is intended for entertainment purposes only.

The National Weather Service forecast for tomorrow is likely to be much less than yesterday’s prediction.

This morning, the National Weather Service announced that there could even be more extreme downpours as a result of the rain that fell during a thunderstorm.

The National Weather Service forecast for tomorrow is likely to be much less than yesterday’s forecast.

Rain will begin to fall late Monday evening into Tuesday morning. Winds will become stronger and gusts will rise.

There will likely be at least three high totals of 35 mph and greater near the coast. In some areas, the number of severe thunderstorm totals could reach 50 mph. Temperatures could peak in the 80s.

Temperatures will reach the mid- to high- 90s for the northern portion of the coast. The number of high totals could reach 70 mph and greater throughout. Temperatures may peak in the upper 80s.

Most likely, there will be an extreme storm surge. This will occur as an ice cloud will move over the coast. In most places, there will be at least one ice cap around the coast. In some locations, the sea ice may extend to the coastline. Storm surge will be at a very high level.

It is not yet clear if the total amount of rain will exceed what is expected.

Forecasters have made adjustments, however, in the storm path in hopes of minimizing some of the damage. Forecasters said the National Hurricane Center is looking for some areas to receive less of the rain than expected.

Some communities along the coastline have experienced very heavy, high amounts of rain, said forecasters.

Forecasters are working to improve the situation. Forecasters are trying to increase the storm center’s visibility as much as possible by making the weather center’s radar system more visible and providing additional radar coverage.

The National Weather Service has issued the following warnings for coastal areas along the coast of the United States. Areas of concern include areas near the coast, in the northern and eastern portion of inland Louisiana and Mississippi, and along the western coast of the United States. Forecasters also are warning residents to be ready for heavy storms on Tuesday.

For the most current information about this forecast, see the National Hurricane Center web page at

http://www.nceps.noaa.gov or the NHC’s Facebook page and on Twitter @NHC_Weather. Forecasters say the storm will likely continue to develop as it moves into coastal areas late Tuesday evening.

Forecasting a possible storm for the United States

A storm warning remains in effect for portions of Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.

A storm warning remains in place for parts of Louisiana from the coast of New Orleans to the Gulf of Mexico.

A storm warning remains in place for portions of Mississippi and Arkansas from the coast of Jackson, Miss., to a point south along the Arkansas River. A storm warning remains in place for portions of Tennessee.

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NWS Predicts Bizarrely Aggressive Snowstorms, Recommends Locking Car Doors

DISCLAIMER: This is not an actual forecast from the National Weather Service. This is intended for entertainment purposes only.

The National Weather Service forecast for tomorrow is expected to be less severe than Monday’s forecast.

This will likely be the second straight day that the snow-covered area has been without rain.

A snowfall of 1 to 2 inches is possible in the mountains from 7 AM to 9 PM.

The National Weather Service has been tracking a high of 5 inches, which is in the 6 to 9 inches range. If it is still raining that is a 5 in the 12 to 14 in range.

If you go down to the airport, expect to have to wait an hour or so to board a flight.

There has been some damage in the area, but it won’t be too bad.

The National Weather Service forecast for tomorrow also predicts a snowstorm warning for the mountains.

Stay safe.

Stay in the car if you want to be safe. And, please be careful with powerlines.

There is no power to the area, and you have to stay on high ground to avoid power lines.

The National Weather Service has issued the following warnings for today:

Stay inside and keep clear.

If the winds are blowing heavy, it is important to stay inside or take cover.

Do not get out in the snow.

Stay inside if possible, but do not venture up onto the roof. It will be very windy.

If you get stuck near a power line, call for assistance and keep moving until it becomes clear.

Be sure not to climb over the powerline. It will be very difficult to free yourself.

Stay on a snowmobile or a walking snowboard or snowmobile tandem if possible.

Get ready for the weather

The National Weather Service says that there should be some showers overnight.

Be patient and stay off of the road.

Stay away from trees.

If you find yourself in a snowstorm, make sure you are wearing appropriate clothing.

Stay inside for the most part, but it is not recommended to walk in the snow. If you want to get into it, stay inside in the car with the doors locked.

Be careful not to get stuck in a snowstorm.

Stay safe, and stay safe.

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Ominous Tornados Forecast for Tomorrow

DISCLAIMER: This is not an actual forecast from the National Weather Service. This is intended for entertainment purposes only.

The National Weather Service forecast for tomorrow is for winds from the southeast at 35 to 40 miles per hour, with wind shear at 5 miles per hour. The severe weather warning has been extended, with heavy rain likely in the afternoon. Highs and lows will be on the morning of Tuesday, October 19.

In a similar vein, a statement issued Wednesday afternoon issued a more detailed and ominous forecast for the next few days, noting, “We are seeing many tornadoes as they grow to the size of small cars and tornadoes in the area can become large tornadoes. We believe that all tornadoes should be reported in the order in which you think they will appear, and if we are correct it will not be until later tonight. The best chance of survival for many is to get down to someplace and go home. The risk is to be found where there are no roads but a small creek and a couple of old barns with no exits but some wooden shelter. If you cannot find a safe place, seek out a few places to hide.”

By this point of the week, some of the most dangerous tornadoes have already struck Southern California, a region which has experienced a spate of tornadoes each year for the last two decades.

On Wednesday afternoon, the National Weather Service in Riverside warned that at least 10 tornadoes have already damaged homes, and more are likely to hit in the coming days, including a twister which touched down at Lake Tahoe on Wednesday afternoon, the Weather Service said. A wind gust of up to 75 mph was recorded on Wednesday afternoon.

“The tornado was just a couple of feet away from one of our buildings and hit with no warning,” said Mike Schubert, a construction worker and resident of a home on a cul-de-sac on South Main Street, which was destroyed in the storm. “I saw a big white tornado coming right at me as it came through. … I was really scared, so I ran up the hill. I couldn’t get out of my house.”

Schubert, who lives across the street from the home where the twister struck, said he was on his way to work when he was knocked over from below. His neighbors told him a tornado touched down, and he went outside, hoping to avoid a potential tornado, as well.

“I saw it coming, and I was like what the hell?” said Schubert. “I didn’t know what to do. I was in shock. … I saw a big black cloud, and as it moved over my house, I heard that my neighbor was gone. Then there was a huge explosion.”

Schubert said he ran to a neighbor’s house to try to save his home, but he was too late: The house, which he had just built, had been destroyed.

“I was really scared, so I ran out to get my truck,” he said. “The house shook like it was on fire, but it was nothing like that.”  A few hours later, he said, “I thought for sure that my house was going to fall down and I wasn’t going to make it.”

Schubert said the tornado hit his neighborhood at the same time as several other tornadoes, which the weather service said may have been triggered by weather-related conditions.

The most severe tornado in the area was a 1-mile-wide tornado that struck Riverside County’s town of Lake Tahoe in a span of about 30 minutes on Wednesday afternoon, according to the National Weather Service.

“I’m shocked they couldn’t get to the scene sooner,” neighbor and Lake Tahoe resident Kevin Smith said. “There was a tornado just over our house. There’s not a lot of power in the area.”

Another neighbor, who only wanted to be identified as Tom, said, “I think everyone was scared out of their wits. We thought this would be a real tornado.”

He said the tornado was so strong it shook his family’s home, but, “We didn’t know what was going on. We weren’t ready. I just knew it had to be a tornado.”

A witness who saw the tornado described it as a “big, black cloud with no wind.” The tornado touched down about 50 yards from the home of Thomas Pyle, a construction worker and employee of the county, which was in flames, according to Schubert.

“He said it was a tornado,” said Schubert, pointing to a nearby home where a house that Pyle lives on collapsed.

The storm also injured three other people, who were treated at Riverside Medical Center, and one of them was flown by helicopter to the National Weather Service’s Sacramento headquarters for emergency management.

“The injuries were pretty bad,” Dr. Paul H. Miller, an emergency medical technician and a member of the National Weather Service’s weather division, said. “They were all pretty serious.”

He said he could not confirm any of the victims had died as a result of their injuries.

On Wednesday night, Riverside Fire Department Chief Steve Smith said the area where the tornado hit was “very heavily affected” and said that it would take up to 30 to 45 minutes for water to clear. Fire crews were working in the area to restore power to about 100 homes. “I’m very worried about the damage to the structures there,” Smith said. “If it had been a bigger storm, I don’t see that it would’ve been any different.”

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